England Women’s Ashes Squad

The ECB have announced England’s squad for the Women’s Ashes ODIs, beginning in Taunton on Tuesday 21st July. There are 14 names on the list, and the big news is the recall of Sussex’s Georgia Elwiss. Elwiss was one of only two players to come out of this winter with her reputation enhanced – the other being Middlesex’s Alex Hartley. Both Elwiss and Hartley shone for “The Academy”, England Women’s equivalent of the men’s Lions, the former with the bat and the latter with the ball. It is with the bat that England have struggled more of late, which explains Elwiss’ inclusion in this squad; though Hartley could yet get her shot later, more likely in the T20s than the Test.

Another point of note is the inclusion of Becky Grundy ahead of England’s World Number One Ranked T20 bowler, Dani Hazell. Grundy was set to play a big part in England’s plans last summer, when injury cruelly intervened to rob her of that opportunity, but the selectors clearly rate her, and now she has her chance once again to prove why.

Full ODI Squad:

  • Charlotte Edwards (C)
  • Heather Knight (VC)
  • Katherine Brunt
  • Kate Cross
  • Georgia Elwiss
  • Lydia Greenway
  • Rebecca Grundy
  • Jenny Gunn
  • Amy Jones
  • Laura Marsh
  • Nat Sciver
  • Anya Shrubsole
  • Sarah Taylor
  • Lauren Winfield

ANALYSIS: How Australia’s Top Batsmen Get Out

Australia’s leading batsmen – Jess Cameron, Meg Lanning, Ellyse Perry, Alex Blackwell, Alyssa Healy and Elyse Villani- have collectively been dismissed over 400 times in limited overs internationals*. We run the numbers showing how Anya Shrubsole and the rest of England’s bowling attack will be looking to get them out in this summer’s Women’s Ashes.

Player Caught Bowled LBW Run Out Stumped
Blackwell 38% 17% 15% 23% 7%
Cameron 57% 20% 8% 9% 7%
Healy 54% 17% 10% 13% 6%
Lanning 60% 16% 9% 13% 3%
Perry 52% 14% 5% 23% 7%
Villani 63% 25% 8% 4% 0%
TOTAL 51% 17% 11% 16% 6%

As with England (and as we would expect) the most common mode of dismissal is caught. For individual players the statistically significant figures are highlighted in red.

Jess Cameron and Alyssa Healy (like England’s Heather Knight) have fairly average profiles, and are not particularly susceptible to getting out in one way any more than another.

In contrast, Southern Stars captain Meg Lanning and opener Elyse Villani get caught a lot! (Although Villani hasn’t played that many matches, her % Caught is well beyond any doubts regarding its statistical significance.)

Like England’s Sarah Taylor (who also gets caught more than average) both players like to play their shots; but their style is very different to Taylor’s. Where Taylor tries to go elegantly over the infield, Lanning and Villani are looking to smash it to – and often over – the boundary rope. Tellingly, Taylor’s boundary rate is much lower – 10% of balls faced, while Villani’s and Lanning’s are at 14% and 15% respectively.

The other side of Villani’s game is that she doesn’t get Run Out very often at all – just 4% of her dismissals; probably because… who needs to run when you are hitting it to the rope?

By contrast, Australia’s vice-captain Alex Blackwell is significantly susceptible to being Run Out. Stylistically, she is quite a careful, conservative and unflashy player, at both domestic and international level, so in a way she is the antithesis of Villani, and she just doesn’t play the kind of shots that get Villani caught.

Also, she bats at a similar position in the order to England’s Lydia Greenway, who suffers the same Run Out problem; and so part of the explanation may well be the same too – coming in later on, when the pressure is on to take all the singles that might be on offer, however tight; and more often than not batting with less experienced tail-enders.

Ellyse Perry’s stats look pretty standard at first glance, but hidden behind the numbers shown above is actually something very interesting – compared to her peers, Ellyse Perry doesn’t get out – not very often, anyway! In fact, of all the world’s leading batsmen, she has far and away the highest Not Out % – 40% of her innings ending undefeated.

The underperformance of Australia’s top batsmen was a key reason for their downfall in the 2013 Ashes series in England; it’ll be interesting to see how they fare this time around.

ANALYSIS: Ellyse Perry & Not Outs

Last week we looked at how some of England’s leading batsmen get out. While researching a similar article on Australia’s top order, we noticed something else interesting: Ellyse Perry – the word’s number 12 ranked ODI batsman – doesn’t get out… or not very often anyway! A staggering 40% of her (limited overs) innings end Not Out.

Intrigued, we ran the numbers for the rest of the Top 20 ranked ODI batsmen, plus threw in some other leading names for good measure. Across the group, the Not Out average is 18%. Meg Lanning (admittedly coming in earlier in the order) ends just 9% of her innings Not Out; and even for more comparable players, the numbers max out in the high 20s. Dane van Niekerk, often batting at a similar spot in the order, is 2nd in the list, and her N.O. is 29% – way, way behind Perry.

This raises the question of whether Perry’s cross-format limited overs average of 30 is distorted by this? To an extent it is. If her N.O. was the same as van Niekerk’s (29%) Perry’s average would fall to a somewhat less impressive 25. So if we are using the average as an indication of how many runs Perry might score, it is distorted. But that doesn’t mean to say it isn’t a fair indication of her value to the Southern Stars – after all, you only have one wicket, and giving it away as little as Perry does is clearly a big part of what makes her one of the world’s most extraordinary players.

The Not Out List

Name N.O. %
Perry 40%
van Niekerk 29%
Priest 29%
Raj 28%
Sciver 27%
Greenway 27%
Kapp 26%
Gunn 25%
Knight 20%
Blackwell 19%
du Preez 18%
Cameron 17%
Maroof 16%
Dottin 16%
Kaur 16%
Taylor, SR 15%
Devine 14%
Edwards 14%
Taylor, SJ 13%
McGlashan 12%
Kahn 12%
Lanning 9%
Satterthwaite 9%
Bates 6%
Atapattu 1%