Coming into the final two rounds of the group stages, there is still a lot to play for in the WBBL – only one side is certain of qualification, and just one team definitely can NOT qualify. (The remaining matches are all “pairs” – i.e. the Sixers play the Renegades twice, the Scorchers play the Thunder twice, etc.)
Here are the permutations… we think!! (Let us know below, if you think we’ve got it wrong.)
With 16 points already, the Sixers are certain of a semi-final, even if they lose their last two matches against the Renegades.
The Scorchers and the Hurricanes need to win at least one of their matches, against the Thunder and the Stars respectively, to be certain of qualification, or they will be depending on other results.
The Stars and the Heat need to win both of their matches, versus the Hurricanes and the Strikers, to be certain of a semi, else they will be looking to other results.
The Thunder have a slim chance of qualifying by winning only one match (see comments) whilst the Renegades need to win both their remaining matches, and hope other results go their way, with the Renegades specifically needing the Heat and the Stars to lose both their remaining games.
Finally, the Strikers are already out, because even though they can theoretically end up level-4th on 12 points, they can’t finish with more than 5 wins, and the Stars and the Heat already have 6 wins.