WBBL: Where We’re At

Coming into the final two rounds of the group stages, there is still a lot to play for in the WBBL – only one side is certain of qualification, and just one team definitely can NOT qualify. (The remaining matches are all “pairs” – i.e. the Sixers play the Renegades twice, the Scorchers play the Thunder twice, etc.)

Team Won NRR Points To Play
Sixers 8 0.41 16 Renegades
Scorchers 7 0.37 14 Thunder
Hurricanes 6 -0.04 13 Stars
Stars 6 0.30 12 Hurricanes
Heat 6 -0.10 12 Strikers
Thunder 5 -0.08 10 Scorchers
Renegades 5 -0.49 9.5 Sixers
Strikers 3 -0.46 8 Heat

Here are the permutations… we think!! (Let us know below, if you think we’ve got it wrong.)

With 16 points already, the Sixers are certain of a semi-final, even if they lose their last two matches against the Renegades.

The Scorchers and the Hurricanes need to win at least one of their matches, against the Thunder and the Stars respectively, to be certain of qualification, or they will be depending on other results.

The Stars and the Heat need to win both of their matches, versus the Hurricanes and the Strikers, to be certain of a semi, else they will be looking to other results.

The Thunder have a slim chance of qualifying by winning only one match (see comments) whilst the Renegades need to win both their remaining matches, and hope other results go their way, with the Renegades specifically needing the Heat and the Stars to lose both their remaining games.

Finally, the Strikers are already out, because even though they can theoretically end up level-4th on 12 points, they can’t finish with more than 5 wins, and the Stars and the Heat already have 6 wins.

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5 thoughts on “WBBL: Where We’re At

  1. “The Thunder and the Renegades need to win both their remaining matches, and hope other results go their way – specifically, the Heat and the Stars losing both remaining games”

    The 2nd half of this statement is inaccurate in that ST can qualify from 2 wins even if BH and MS do not lose both their remaining games.
    For example ST bt PS twice, HH/MS win one each and BH win only one game. This leaves 4 teams on 14pts, all with 7 wins so it would be decided on NRR.

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      • Actually the first part of the statement is also inaccurate..ST can qualify on just one win. That win would take them to 12 pts, BH can end up on 12 pts and MS can up on 12 pts – so a 3 way tie for 4th place to be decided on NRR.

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  2. Sixers:
    Recent Highlight: That tied game and tied super over loss against Thunder. How much better than the following men’s game was that again?
    Chances: Certain to qualify…Favourites for the title. Big favourites to do the double over Renegades, although they will still want to make sure they top the table, so need to play well and can’t get complacent.

    Scorchers: They’ve managed to hold the batting together with Villani, Bolton, and some middle-order hitting from Brunt and the impressive Heather Graham. Their bowling attack is formidable.
    Recent Highlight: Katherine Brunt’s excellent performance against the Stars with 32* off 14 balls. Shrubsole going at 3 an over and her bizarre dismissal of Beams!
    Chances: Almost certain to qualify.

    Hurricanes: Producing some strong performances at vital times, things are looking up for the ‘Cane train.
    Recent Highlights: Amy Satterthwaite’s remarkable hat-trick against the Thunder earlier today. The aggression of Burns and Redmayne, and Heather Knight’s continuing decent form with the bat.
    Chances: Very likely to qualify

    Stars: Strong at times, but inconsistent and a worrying 33-run loss against the Scorchers in their last outing. They desperately need to change things up at the top of the order, moving Mack and Sciver up would help (Inglis and Cameron look out of nick to me). They are in need of bowlers with good economy rates too. Meg Lanning might want to try herself! They need at least one win against the ‘Canes, which could see them through – they may well know after the first match if they need to win the second or not.
    Recent Highlight: Nat Sciver’s mature batting display, a highlight in an otherwise disappointing performance against the Scorchers.
    Chances: Decent chance to qualify

    Heat: Possibly the most inconsistent team who win well one day, then lose badly the next. They are the enigma of the competition. It’s strange because all their batters look very capable but together with the bowling, they don’t seem to be able to pull it all off consistently. Look very likely to take 2 points if not 4 from Strikers.
    Recent Highlight: Beth Mooney’s batting and keeping (always), and everything Jemma Barsby does is entertaining.
    Chances: Decent chance to qualify

    Thunder: In dire straights after today’s defeat, but all hope is not yet lost. Some of their bigger names like Stalenberg, Carey have not performed as well as they might
    Recent Highlight: Alex Blackwell’s batting these days, and her keeping and sportsmanship…What a player! Farrell and Vakarewa look quality too.
    Chances: Looks tough but not impossible. They have 2 games away at Perth, which they may be able to win one but I can’t see them triumphing twice. Trouble is I can’t see 12 points being enough to qualify, so they probably need to win both games. Scorchers are almost through, so may let their foot off a little, which would help Thunder, plus the pale greens have little to lose. If ST do qualify though, they have the experience to reach the final.

    Renegades:
    Recent Highlight: Lea Tahuhu’s fast bowling. Sophie Molineux’s languid, free-flowing batting style and how it contrasts with Priest’s raw power. They’re certainly an interesting opening partnership!
    Chances: Very remote indeed. I can’t see them winning either of their 2 remaining games – Sixers, even on cruise control should have too much for them. Although, MR have surprised us once or twice already and do have some fighting spirit.

    Strikers:
    Recent Highlight: Charlotte Edwards and Tammy Beaumont starting to come good.
    Chances: None. That said, they have been improving a little of late, and so having nothing to lose I do have a feeling they might pull off one win against an inconsistent Heat.

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